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 @ISIDEWITHNewsPollingDaily DiscussionRepublicanDemocratsBidenpollsElissa SlotkinAngela Alsobrooks•••3wks ago

Senate Democrats don't believe Biden's bad polls

Democratic senators who represent presidential battlegrounds agree with President Biden — polls showing him trailing former President Trump in those key states are wrong.Why it matters: The skepticism is especially notable because a number of Democrats from those states have a polling lead over their Republican opponents in pivotal Senate races.

"No, I do not think that they are accurate," Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) told Axios. Her retirement has triggered one of the most competitive Senate races. Democrat Elissa Slotkin has been leading in early polls, even as Biden lags behind Trump."The polls showed that I was down when I entered my race. And polls didn't look that great for Angela Alsobrooks a couple weeks ago, but she won the primary heartedly," Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) told Axios.

12 Replies

 @DemocraticSwiftConstitutionfrom Pennsylvania commented…3wks3W

Not believing in the polls is an admission that there’s no plans to change strategy. Good luck with that

 @ArdentFederalistDemocratfrom New Jersey disagreed…3wks3W

Don't agree with the polls" is a little more nuanced than that. Dems need to come home, with Trump as the candidate and the fundamentals heavily favoring Democrats, that should happen. Polls are a snapshot, not a prediction of 2+ months out.

 @Fr33domBadgerLibertarian from Massachusetts commented…3wks3W

One thing many campaigns can learn from sports:

Oversell your opponent as far as YOUR expectations.

"Everyone knows Madison Square Garden is a tough place to play. They are a great team. It's going to take everyone tonight. One loose ball can make a difference."

 @VettedVoteSeagullAmerican Solidarity from Nebraska commented…3wks3W

Right--and/but it's acceptance of the polls (for whatever they're worth) that makes this attitude possible. We're going to work hard, turn out our votes, persuade the undecideds etc.

 @InaugurationLolliesWorking Family from California agreed…3wks3W

Better to say you believe the final election result will be different from the polls rather than that the polls are "wrong."

 @TealBradRepublican from South Carolina agreed…3wks3W

Polls aren't articles of faith, and belief/agreement has nothing to do with it. They're instruments whose utility is diagnostic and inherently retrospective. At best they tell you what's working at what isn't. Stick your head in the sand at your own peril.

 @P0litic4lElianaRepublicanfrom Pennsylvania disagreed…3wks3W

Reads like the kind of stuff they think they have to say on the record. Hard to say if they actually believe it—maybe some do, some don’t.

 @ISIDEWITHasked…3wks3W

How do personal beliefs and biases potentially affect one's interpretation of political polls or their faith in their accuracy?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…3wks3W

Should the discrepancy in polls between candidates and their opponents affect how a campaign is run or how policies are presented?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…3wks3W

Can media coverage of poll results influence voter behavior or perceptions of a candidate's viability?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…3wks3W

How much should politicians rely on polling data to make decisions or gauge public opinion?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…3wks3W

Do you think public opinion polls are a reliable way to predict the outcome of elections, or do they often miss the mark?

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