For more than two years, the president persisted in treating sharp price increases as a transitory phenomenon, even while “peak inflation” kept peaking until we reached a 40-year high. He likewise insisted that the surge in illicit border crossings was seasonal and nothing to worry about, even while border officials reported record levels of migrants entering the country illegally and requesting asylum to avoid deportation.
One wonders if Mr. Biden is similarly in denial about his re-election prospects. Every major poll has him losing to Donald Trump. True, Election Day is eight months away, so that may well change. The Supreme Court ruled unanimously on Monday that Democrats can’t keep Mr. Trump’s name off state ballots, but the former president still has plenty of other court battles ahead, and a felony conviction could have an effect on voter attitudes.
In November, the New York Times and Siena College released polling results in six swing states that are expected to determine the election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The survey indicated that 22% of blacks would vote for Mr. Trump, along with 42% of Hispanics. In 2020 Mr. Biden won the black vote, 92% to 8% and the Hispanic vote 59% to 38%, according to the Pew Research Center. Black and Hispanic voters have been an important part of the Democratic base for decades, but these coalitions aren’t everlasting.
In 2016 Mr. Trump won by energizing people who hadn’t been politically active. Now he’s stealing voters from the other team.
Mr. Trump isn’t leading Mr. Biden because voters are ignorant about what they’d get in a second Trump term. Joe Biden won four years ago because voters wanted the Donald Trump economy without Donald Trump.
That’s not what Mr. Biden delivered, and he’ll have to do more than call his opponent a threat to democracy if he’s going to win re-election. As Democratic strategist
David Axelrod dryly noted in a recent interview, “I’m pretty certain in Scranton they’re not sitting around their dinner table talking about democracy every night.”
@ExecutiveAllisonRepublican2mos2MO
Trump's support from blacks increased 500% from 2020 to now in 2024. The reasons are more than merely economic. Blacks know persecution, and specifically legal persecution, because they've lived it. When they see the Democrat lynch mob in the guise of our system of justice ganging up on Trump for contrived or petty reasons, they don't like it.
Blacks rallied to Clinton's cause in the 90s for the same reason. Remember blacks celebrating Clinton as "the first black president?" Many are now feeling the same way about Trump.
Hispanics, especially those here in Texas… Read more
@PretzelsPiperTranshumanist2mos2MO
Trump signed a bill in December 2019 that ensured historic black colleges would receive permanently $250 million per year on a permanent basis. Nothing will help the black community who want a college education more than that. They remember, and they have been harmed by inflation and the swarming at the border too.
I am white of Irish descent, but as a graduate of one of those schools, I will not forget that.
Given the chance by the Democrats in Congress I am sure he will do the same for the blue-collar workers as well.
The single most most foolish Presidential Election strategy in all of our history was the Biden assumption that Latino Citizens would flock to him for promoting an invasion of our Nation just as long as the skin tone of the invaders was the "correct" one.
@PigletZachVeteran2mos2MO
One issue seldom mentioned is that working Hispanics are generally family-oriented and socially right of center, valuing family honor and decency. The democrat's emphasis on sexualizing children in elementary schools and making heroes out of transvestites and "drag queen story hour" are totally out of sync with traditional Hispanic family values.
@Partis4nAmeliaTranshumanist2mos2MO
Hispanics are supporting Trump because they value family, religion, education and the American work ethic. Interestingly, I saw a Latina woman interviewed recently who voted for Biden in 2020 but is switching to Trump because she's very upset with her young children being exposed to transgender sex education and D-E-I indoctrination at their schools.
@ISIDEWITH2mos2MO
If Biden's approach to issues like inflation and border security is seen as inadequate, how might this influence the voting decisions of Black and Hispanic communities?
@9KLLM7G 2mos2MO
Both parties need new candidates
@DiplomacyHedgehog2mos2MO
@ISIDEWITH2mos2MO
Why do you think some Black and Hispanic voters might choose to support Trump despite his controversial tenure, and what does it reveal about Biden's presidency?
@9KLN3ZH2mos2MO
Trump kept prices lower during his presidency which made it easier to live
@ISIDEWITH2mos2MO
Considering the reported increase in minority support for Trump, what does this say about party loyalty and the expectations minority communities have from political leaders?
@9KLMVGT2mos2MO
trump should be in office get sleepy joe outta there
@FerventDeficitRepublican2mos2MO
Biden continues to crush it with rich white people but underperform with Latinos and Asians.
@9KLTM9N2mos2MO
biden should be out of office. Trump needs to come back an make america great again
@9KLV49N2mos2MO
People wanna bring back trump because of the bad causes that Biden has brought to the US
@9KLRFJ72mos2MO
I think its important people see the truth of things, and don't believe everything they see on the internet.
@9KLNNL82mos2MO
I think that Trump has gained the votes of more and more people every day.
@9KLLM7G 2mos2MO
We need new candidates from both parties.
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